Does the price of petrol increase after election?
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On Monday, oil prices rose
above $93 a barrel, briefly touching $94, but domestic fuel prices remained unchanged, prompting fears of a sharp price increase after five states'
elections next month.
Fears that
Omicorn would depress oil demand caused crude oil prices to drop to $69 per barrel on
December 1 from $81 per barrel on November 4, but as Prices steadily In the
third wave of Covid-19, which appeared to be less harsh than the previous
rounds, slowly increased by a third to $93 Geopolitical tensions between
Russia, one of the world's top three oil producers, and Western powers over
Ukraine are propelling the current downward spiral, which comes at a time when
supply is tightening. Oil prices have risen $12 per barrel, or 15%, on the
international market since November 4, while domestic fuel prices, which are
based on international rates, have remained unchanged. "Politics, not
economics, is dictating the current behaviour of domestic oil companies,"
said Sunil Kumar Sinha, principal economist at India Ratings and Research. If
world oil prices stay at that level after the elections we should expect a
shock.
Domestic oil marketing businesses are likely to boost
prices significantly after the elections to align domestic prices with
international rates and make up for whatever losses they may be experiencing
now, according to inha. This would have a significant effect on inflation and
inflationary expectations.
Small daily
price adjustments are easier for customers to live with than large, abrupt
price increases, according to Sinha, since they give them time to modify their
behaviour. It is a jolt and it transfers as abruptly into transportation costs
and other commodities pricing," jolt said.
MK Surana,
chairman of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation, said last week that retail prices of petrol and diesel will be harmonised with international pricing over time, but
that daily price variations will be inconvenient for consumers.
According to
data from the government's Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell, the price of
crude oil imported by India climbed to $94.54 per barrel on Monday, the highest
level since October 2014. As geopolitical tensions between Ukraine and Russia
fuelled supply fears amid low stocks, crude oil prices rose. However, Russia is
now withdrawing some of its military from the Ukraine border, which could help
to down world prices.
After total
deregulation of fuel pricing in 2014, oil companies in India are legally free to sync their prices
with global rates — but, fearing public backlash, they normally have prices
should be frozen in the run-up to elections.
Last week,
the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which controls a big
portion of India's crude supply, predicted that global oil consumption would
climb even faster this year as the global economy recovers.
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